Where Should LeBron Have Gone?

lebroncavsedit

 

LeBron James could have gone to almost any team he wanted.  He chose to go home to Cleveland.  But was that the best basketball decision?  Here is a list of the best and worst teammates based off of advanced statistics.

 

 

0 Point Possessions Last Touches:

 

RoseDerrick

 

0PPLT is the selfishness stat. It shows the percentage that a team’s possession ends with a player either missing a shot or turning the ball over.  High numbers in this stat are signs that a player possesses the ball too much for his team’s own good.

 

Rank Player
1 Derrick Rose 23.9526
2 Russell Westbrook 22.1766
3 Jannero Pargo 19.7427
4 Carmelo Anthony 19.5564
5 DeMarcus Cousins 18.9056
6 Kyrie Irving 18.492
7 Jordan Crawford 18.4333
8 Tony Wroten 18.3206
9 John Wall 18.1977
10 Kevin Durant 18.1184
11 LaMarcus Aldridge 18.1096
12 Paul George 18.0544
13 Stephen Curry 18.0018
14 Gary Neal 17.979
15 Brandon Knight 17.8564
16 Dion Waiters 17.8049
17 Jose Barea 17.686
18 Tyshawn Taylor 17.6643
19 Michael Carter-Williams 17.5545
20 Rudy Gay 17.5255
21 Tyreke Evans 17.472
22 Jamal Crawford 17.3328
23 Kemba Walker 17.1789
24 Brandon Jennings 17.167
25 Caron Butler 17.1538
     

.* Players must have played over 240 minutes to qualify*

(Kobe Bryant’s 2013 stats would have put him second on this list with 22.869)

 

In the top 7 are Derrick Rose, Carmelo Anthony and Kyrie Irving.  Out of 463 players LeBron is 72 Wade is 87 Bosh is ranked 231.

 

Percentage of Possessions Ended:

 

russell-westbrook-player-exclusive-okc-home-01

 

PPE is the ball hog stat.  It shows the percentage of possessions ended when a player is the last one to touch the ball, weather it be a shot attempt, drawing a foul, an assist, or turnover.  It is ok to be on this list, but teams should not have more than one player high up on the list because they will step on each other’s toes.

 

 

Rank Team Player
1 OKC Russell Westbrook 50.1766
2 OKC Kevin Durant 44.6684
3 GSW Stephen Curry 43.9018
4 CHI Derrick Rose 43.5526
5 WAS John Wall 43.4477
6 CHA Jannero Pargo 42.8927
7 MIA LeBron James 42.2085
8 LAC Chris Paul 42.06
9 SAC DeMarcus Cousins 41.4056
10 CLE Kyrie Irving 41.292
11 NYK Carmelo Anthony 41.2564
12 NOP Tyreke Evans 39.822
13 HOU James Harden 39.6004
14 BOS Rajon Rondo 39.346
15 SAC Isaiah Thomas 39.2981
16 MIN Kevin Love 39.2293
17 SAS Tony Parker 39.1731
18 ATL Jeff Teague 39.0396
19 NOP Jrue Holiday 38.8971
20 DET Brandon Jennings 38.617
21 MIL Brandon Knight 38.3564
22 DET Will Bynum 38.3332
23 TOR Rudy Gay 38.2688
24 POR LaMarcus Aldridge 37.9096
25 CHA Kemba Walker 37.8789

(2013 Kobe Bryant would have been first with a whopping 66.219%)

 

In this statistic variation between teammates is key.  The more successful teams have a spread out amount of PPE because it stretches out the defense when there are multiple threats.

 

Points Per Last Touch:

millerandrew

 

PPLT is the production stat.  It shows how many points a team can expect to score if a player is the last one to touch the ball during a possession.  These are guys who are highly efficient with their touches.  High number means the player is a good teammate.

 

Rank Player
1 Andre Miller 1.268301618
2 Ricky Rubio 1.252718967
3 Chris Paul 1.250505753
4 Pablo Prigioni 1.245849084
5 Kendall Marshall 1.213807438
6 Andre Miller 1.203736264
7 Steve Nash 1.182666141
8 Ty Lawson 1.142497474
9 Shaun Livingston 1.13387193
10 Rajon Rondo 1.132096617
11 Joakim Noah 1.117053361
12 Tony Parker 1.101841052
13 Greivis Vasquez 1.100641496
14 Steve Blake 1.100340525
15 Beno Udrih 1.098555175
16 Ishmael Smith 1.0917914
17 Jrue Holiday 1.085761662
18 Steve Blake 1.085445998
19 Cory Joseph 1.080442791
20 Ramon Sessions 1.080014145
21 Devin Harris 1.076774984
22 Nick Collison 1.071101557
23 Phil Pressey 1.064353661
24 Andre Iguodala 1.058470863
25 Nick Calathes 1.056758788

 

 

 

 

Good/Bad Ratio:

prigioni_toe_fracture

 

A team’s total G/B ratio is more correlated to wins than any other statistic.  G/B is a ratio that compares the amount of points a player contributes per possession to the amount of possessions that the player misses a shot or turns the ball over.  The higher the number the better the teammate:

 

Rank Team Player
1 NYK Pablo Prigioni 4.78385696
2 LAC Chris Paul 4.254944359
3 LAL Kendall Marshall 3.766887517
4 MIN Ricky Rubio 3.698629601
5 CHA Josh McRoberts 3.38609933
6 DEN Ty Lawson 3.385451486
7 DAL Jose Calderon 3.38075508
8 GSW Andre Iguodala 3.333462469
9 SAC Greivis Vasquez 3.315670426
10 MIA LeBron James 3.304634143
11 DAL Brandan Wright 3.276323534
12 TOR Kyle Lowry 3.23957216
13 DAL Devin Harris 3.224826109
14 CLE Matthew Dellavedova 3.191191516
15 BOS Rajon Rondo 3.189960492
16 BRK Deron Williams 3.175472392
17 GSW Stephen Curry 3.153250695
18 PHO Goran Dragic 3.131774617
19 MIL Ramon Sessions 3.120563331
20 MIA Mario Chalmers 3.118294739
21 ATL Kyle Korver 3.073425091
22 SAS Cory Joseph 3.029536247
23 SAS Manu Ginobili 3.017765844
24 ORL Jameer Nelson 2.996075813
25 IND George Hill 2.994503666

 

Carmelo was 167th in this statistic,  Irving was 78th, Miami as a team was 3rd.

 

 

Andrew+Nicholson+New+York+Knicks+v+Orlando+8ClFn24R4ZEx

Here are the worst teammates based on G/B ratio:

 

 

Rank Tm Player Points/Bad
1 ORL Andrew Nicholson 1.393682048
2 TOR Rudy Gay 1.431962231
3 MIL Ekpe Udoh 1.462325052
4 CHI Carlos Boozer 1.496478175
5 MEM Kosta Koufos 1.515653817
6 GSW Marreese Speights 1.524490617
7 UTA Enes Kanter 1.549860275
8 DEN Darrell Arthur 1.551823873
9 PHO Miles Plumlee 1.556673811
10 IND Roy Hibbert 1.559527518
11 SAC Ben McLemore 1.580832621
12 MIN Luc Mbah a Moute 1.589734222
13 NYK Andrea Bargnani 1.597586586
14 NOP Jason Smith 1.600227822
15 IND Luis Scola 1.620512451
16 POR Thomas Robinson 1.6220231
17 MIL Ersan Ilyasova 1.629732287
18 CHI Taj Gibson 1.640305041
19 BOS Avery Bradley 1.645308434
20 OKC Kendrick Perkins 1.649982756
21 SAC Jason Thompson 1.65029694
22 SAC Marcus Thornton 1.651100258
23 BRK Kevin Garnett 1.675646337
24 BOS Jared Sullinger 1.678660036
25 HOU Donatas Motiejunas 1.6819128

 

Last year’s P/B rankings per team has the strongest correlation to wins.  Here were the team ranks from 2014:

 

los-angeles-clippers111

 

  1. Clippers
  2. Spurs
  3. Heat
  4. Mavericks
  5. Hawks
  6. Rockets
  7. Blazers
  8. Nets
  9. T’wolves
  10. Warriors
  11. Thunder
  12. Wizards
  13. Lakers
  14. Knicks
  15. Bobcats
  16. Nuggets
  17. Suns
  18. Cavs
  19. Bulls
  20. Pelicans
  21. Pacers
  22. Grizzlies
  23. Raptors
  24. Bucks
  25. Jazz
  26. Pistons
  27. Kings
  28. Magic
  29. Celtics
  30. Sixers

Based on the advanced stats LeBron should have stayed in Miami.  But with LeBron the Cavs will learn how to play better as a team and he will shift these stats in Cleveland’s favor.

 

For full statistical analysis tweet @RealTommyMorris

 

 

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About tommymorrismedia

USC '12, Co-host Executive Producer Unsportsmanlike Conduct. Play-By-Play KXSC for football, basketball, and baseball.

Posted on July 12, 2014, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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